[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"content-doc-dciod26d10f5":3},{"user":4,"document":8,"mainDocument":27,"columnUrl":29,"subscription":30,"footer":42,"text":77},{"isAuthenticated":5,"isAdmin":5,"displayName":6,"avatarUrl":6,"nid":6,"groupLevel":7},false,"",-10,{"id":9,"fullTitle":10,"subTitle":6,"url":11,"columnId":12,"columnName":13,"columnUrl":14,"summary":6,"contentHtml":15,"mainContentHtml":6,"posterUrl":16,"createDate":17,"displayDate":18,"displayDateSlash":19,"pageviews":20,"tags":21,"hidden":5,"isSubContent":5,"replyDocOrTargetId":6,"contentType":23,"videoId":6,"liveVideoUrl":6,"duration":24,"price":24,"priceText":25,"priceBadgeText":25,"priceBadgeClass":26,"freeForMinGroupLevel":24,"redirectUrl":6,"readyToStream":5},"dciod26d10f5","华尔街分析师认为，特朗普关税对苹果iPhone增量影响不大","\u002Fdoc\u002Fdciod26d10f5","col18178739ee","美股资讯","\u002Fcol\u002Fcol18178739ee","\u003Ch3>一、关税威胁来袭，苹果股价承压\u003C\u002Fh3>\n\u003Cp>特朗普延续其一贯的&ldquo;美国制造优先&rdquo;立场，提出对海外生产的iPhone征收重税。这一计划主要剑指苹果在中国、印度等地的庞大生产基地，意图推动制造业回流美国。苹果股价应声下跌，反映市场对潜在成本上升和供应链压力的担忧。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cfigure class=\"image\" data-img-size-val=\"1080,608\">\u003Cimg src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimg.36krcdn.com\u002Fhsossms\u002F20250528\u002Fv2_e1f8da4e929944118005f84507803b68@5576020_oswg54940oswg1080oswg608_img_000?x-oss-process=image\u002Fformat,jpg\u002Finterlace,1\">\u003C\u002Ffigure>\n\u003Ch3>二、瑞银：增量影响有限，但估值承压\u003C\u002Fh3>\n\u003Cp>瑞银给予苹果**&ldquo;中性&rdquo;评级，目标价210美元**，并认为此次关税威胁对苹果利润的实际增量影响相对有限，但对估值可能构成压力。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>瑞银指出，考虑到目前的关税背景，即便美国对中国和印度制造的iPhone实施更高税率，对苹果每股收益的影响仍属可控：\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>若对中国组装iPhone征20%关税、印度征10%，\u003Cstrong>影响或为每股0.34美元\u003C\u002Fstrong>，相当于2026财年EPS预估（7.49美元）的约\u003Cstrong>5%\u003C\u002Fstrong>；\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>若对从中印进口的7000万部iPhone征收25%全面关税，影响扩大至\u003Cstrong>每股0.51美元\u003C\u002Fstrong>，但整体盈利能力并未出现根本性恶化。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>不过，瑞银也强调，此类关税威胁虽然未必落地，却会加剧市场对苹果未来盈利能力的担忧，从而对其估值形成一定压制。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Ch3>三、高盛：政策趋严，但苹果基本面稳健\u003C\u002Fh3>\n\u003Cp>高盛则相对乐观，继续给予苹果**&ldquo;买入&rdquo;评级，目标价为253美元**，并强调苹果长期基本面依然稳健。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>高盛指出，当前针对苹果主要组装国的\u003Cstrong>关税政策本身已经非常严苛\u003C\u002Fstrong>，特朗普提出的新关税计划其实与当前政策方向相符：\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>中国商品：关税34%，8月12日前有90天豁免期；\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>印度商品：关税26%，豁免期至7月9日；\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>越南商品：关税46%，同样豁免至7月9日。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>高盛分析，特朗普此举或暗示未来\u003Cstrong>智能手机获得关税豁免的可能性降低\u003C\u002Fstrong>，但这并未改变其对苹果整体投资价值的判断。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>高盛强调，虽然产品收入增长面临周期性压力（如换机周期延长），但苹果的核心优势在于其庞大的生态系统、持续增长的服务收入、新品创新，以及全球庞大的活跃设备安装量。这些因素足以\u003Cstrong>抵消硬件周期带来的短期波动\u003C\u002Fstrong>。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>此外，与历史市盈率和科技同业相比，苹果目前估值具有吸引力。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Ch3>四、结语：短期波动难掩长期价值\u003C\u002Fh3>\n\u003Cp>特朗普提出的新关税计划的确对苹果构成潜在压力，尤其是在供应链尚未完全多元化的背景下。但从多家投行分析来看，苹果的\u003Cstrong>定价能力、品牌护城河和服务生态\u003C\u002Fstrong>为其提供了稳固的盈利支撑。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>即便关税最终实施，对苹果每股收益的冲击也属可控。更重要的是，苹果正在不断扩大印度、越南等地的产能，持续优化其全球供应链，增强抗风险能力。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>未来，投资者仍需密切关注美国贸易政策变化及其对苹果战略布局的影响。但从长期来看，苹果作为科技巨头的地位和商业模式，仍具备较强的韧性与吸引力。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>&nbsp;\u003C\u002Fp>","https:\u002F\u002Fstockwebsiteblob.blob.core.windows.net\u002Fweb-202505-stk\u002FUploadertl4vkoirxmy_2025_05_27_17_22_14.jpeg","2025-05-28T00:21:34.58","2025.05.28","2025\u002F05\u002F28",49389,[22],"AAPL","Article",0,"免费","success",{"id":9,"fullTitle":10,"subTitle":6,"url":11,"columnId":12,"columnName":13,"columnUrl":14,"summary":6,"contentHtml":15,"mainContentHtml":6,"posterUrl":16,"createDate":17,"displayDate":18,"displayDateSlash":19,"pageviews":20,"tags":28,"hidden":5,"isSubContent":5,"replyDocOrTargetId":6,"contentType":23,"videoId":6,"liveVideoUrl":6,"duration":24,"price":24,"priceText":25,"priceBadgeText":25,"priceBadgeClass":26,"freeForMinGroupLevel":24,"redirectUrl":6,"readyToStream":5},[22],"\u002Fcol\u002Fstocknews",{"visible":5,"marketingHtml":31,"services":32,"recentDocuments":41},"\u003Cfigure 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buy@TradesMax.com 美国电话 626-378-3637","公司介绍","\u003Cp class=\"MsoNormal\">美股大数据 StockWe.com 是一个美国领先的金融和美股信息大数据提供商，紧盯华尔街金融市场和行情，2008年成立于美国硅谷，创始人是前纽约证券交易所资深分析师Ken，联合多位摩根斯坦利分析师，谷歌 Meta工程师利用AI和大数据，配合十多年美股实战经验和业内量化交易模型，每天处理千万级股票数据：挖掘潜力大牛股，捕捉期权异动大单，实时主力资金流向、机构持仓变化、川普突发新闻，精准买卖信号第一时间发到您手机APP。\u003C\u002Fp>","专业美股投资者都在这里",{"loading":78,"search":79,"searchPlaceholder":79,"hotContent":80,"draft":81,"noData":82,"searchNoData":83,"edit":84,"editVideo":85,"courseContent":86,"more":87,"buyNow":88,"subscribeNow":89,"encoding":90,"paidContent":91},"Loading...","搜索","热门内容","草稿","目前没有任何内容公布","当前检索内容没有数据","编辑","编辑视频","课程内容","更多","立即购买后观看","- 立即订阅 -","视频编码中...","付费内容"]