[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"content-doc-dciob6bb88b8":3},{"user":4,"document":8,"mainDocument":27,"columnUrl":29,"subscription":30,"footer":42,"text":77},{"isAuthenticated":5,"isAdmin":5,"displayName":6,"avatarUrl":6,"nid":6,"groupLevel":7},false,"",-10,{"id":9,"fullTitle":10,"subTitle":6,"url":11,"columnId":12,"columnName":13,"columnUrl":14,"summary":6,"contentHtml":15,"mainContentHtml":6,"posterUrl":16,"createDate":17,"displayDate":18,"displayDateSlash":19,"pageviews":20,"tags":21,"hidden":5,"isSubContent":5,"replyDocOrTargetId":6,"contentType":23,"videoId":6,"liveVideoUrl":6,"duration":24,"price":24,"priceText":25,"priceBadgeText":25,"priceBadgeClass":26,"freeForMinGroupLevel":24,"redirectUrl":6,"readyToStream":5},"dciob6bb88b8","美股交易员 “豪赌” 美联储今年将至少降息 4 次","\u002Fdoc\u002Fdciob6bb88b8","col18178739ee","美股资讯","\u002Fcol\u002Fcol18178739ee","\u003Cp class=\"MsoNormal\">\u003Cspan lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family: DengXian; mso-ascii-font-family: Aptos; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Aptos; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;\">美股投资网报道，近期美股市场的剧烈波动，引发部分交易员押注美联储可能会在常规议息会议之外提前紧急降息。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp class=\"MsoNormal\">\u003Cspan lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family: DengXian; mso-ascii-font-family: Aptos; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Aptos; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;\">在周四市场大幅下跌后，\u003C\u002Fspan>4\u003Cspan lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family: DengXian; mso-ascii-font-family: Aptos; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Aptos; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;\">月联邦基金期货的未平仓合约激增，早盘出现一笔\u003C\u002Fspan>4.8\u003Cspan lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family: DengXian; mso-ascii-font-family: Aptos; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Aptos; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;\">万手的大规模买入，相当于每个基点风险（\u003C\u002Fspan>DV01\u003Cspan lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family: DengXian; mso-ascii-font-family: Aptos; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Aptos; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;\">）约\u003C\u002Fspan>190\u003Cspan lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family: DengXian; mso-ascii-font-family: Aptos; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Aptos; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;\">万美元。周五进一步的数据显示，美债期货市场的未平仓合约也显著增加，表明市场建立的是全新多头仓位，而非已有空头的平仓行为。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp class=\"MsoNormal\">\u003Cspan lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family: DengXian; mso-ascii-font-family: Aptos; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Aptos; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;\">据芝加哥商品交易所集团（\u003C\u002Fspan>CME Group\u003Cspan lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family: DengXian; mso-ascii-font-family: Aptos; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Aptos; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;\">）周五上午的数据显示，今年降息五次的概率从前一天的\u003C\u002Fspan>18.3%\u003Cspan lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family: DengXian; mso-ascii-font-family: Aptos; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Aptos; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;\">跃升至\u003C\u002Fspan>37.9%\u003Cspan lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family: DengXian; mso-ascii-font-family: Aptos; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Aptos; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;\">。这将使联邦基金利率从\u003C\u002Fspan>12\u003Cspan lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family: DengXian; mso-ascii-font-family: Aptos; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Aptos; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;\">月以来的\u003C\u002Fspan>4.25%\u003Cspan lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family: DengXian; mso-ascii-font-family: Aptos; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Aptos; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;\">至\u003C\u002Fspan>4.50%\u003Cspan lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family: DengXian; mso-ascii-font-family: Aptos; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Aptos; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;\">降至\u003C\u002Fspan>3.00%\u003Cspan lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family: DengXian; mso-ascii-font-family: Aptos; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Aptos; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;\">至\u003C\u002Fspan>3.25%\u003Cspan lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family: DengXian; mso-ascii-font-family: Aptos; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Aptos; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;\">。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp class=\"MsoNormal\">\u003Cspan lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family: DengXian; mso-ascii-font-family: Aptos; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Aptos; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;\">市场还认为联邦基金利率降至\u003C\u002Fspan> 3.25% \u003Cspan lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family: DengXian; mso-ascii-font-family: Aptos; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Aptos; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;\">至\u003C\u002Fspan> 3.50% \u003Cspan lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family: DengXian; mso-ascii-font-family: Aptos; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Aptos; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;\">的可能性约为\u003C\u002Fspan> 32%\u003Cspan lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family: DengXian; mso-ascii-font-family: Aptos; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Aptos; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;\">，这意味着美联储将下调四个季度的利率。与此同时，\u003C\u002Fspan>6 \u003Cspan lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family: DengXian; mso-ascii-font-family: Aptos; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Aptos; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;\">月份降息半个百分点的可能性也从之前的\u003C\u002Fspan> 15.9% \u003Cspan lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family: DengXian; mso-ascii-font-family: Aptos; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Aptos; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;\">跃升至\u003C\u002Fspan> 43.8%\u003Cspan lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family: DengXian; mso-ascii-font-family: Aptos; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Aptos; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;\">。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp class=\"MsoNormal\">\u003Cspan lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family: DengXian; mso-ascii-font-family: Aptos; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Aptos; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;\">在特朗普的关税引发了对全球贸易战的担忧，并损害了经济学家对经济增长和通胀的预测之后，美联储将积极减息的隐含概率上升。投资者预计，经济增长放缓可能刺激美联储降低利率，以避免经济衰退。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp class=\"MsoNormal\">\u003Cspan lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family: DengXian; mso-ascii-font-family: Aptos; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Aptos; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;\">然而，许多人担心美联储的前路会很艰难，因为在通胀率尚未降至\u003C\u002Fspan>2%\u003Cspan lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family: DengXian; mso-ascii-font-family: Aptos; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Aptos; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;\">目标的环境下，央行不得不降息。如果关税得以实施，预计将推动核心通胀率升至\u003C\u002Fspan>3%\u003Cspan lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family: DengXian; mso-ascii-font-family: Aptos; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Aptos; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;\">以北，根据一些预测，甚至可能高达\u003C\u002Fspan>5%\u003Cspan lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family: DengXian; mso-ascii-font-family: Aptos; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Aptos; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;\">。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp class=\"MsoNormal\">\u003Cspan lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family: DengXian; mso-ascii-font-family: Aptos; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Aptos; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;\">周五，美联储前副主席、经济学家罗杰\u003C\u002Fspan>-\u003Cspan lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family: DengXian; mso-ascii-font-family: Aptos; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Aptos; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;\">弗格森（\u003C\u002Fspan>Roger W. Ferguson\u003Cspan lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family: DengXian; mso-ascii-font-family: Aptos; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Aptos; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;\">）对\u003C\u002Fspan> \u003Cspan lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family: DengXian; mso-ascii-font-family: Aptos; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Aptos; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;\">媒体表示，美联储今年可能不会减息，并称美联储必须担心通胀问题。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp class=\"MsoNormal\"> \u003C\u002Fp>","https:\u002F\u002Fstockwebsiteblob.blob.core.windows.net\u002Fweb-202504-stk\u002FUploaderlcpj4tfxtx4_2025_04_05_23_24_13.jpg","2025-04-06T06:23:16.12","2025.04.06","2025\u002F04\u002F06",38228,[22],"美联储","Article",0,"免费","success",{"id":9,"fullTitle":10,"subTitle":6,"url":11,"columnId":12,"columnName":13,"columnUrl":14,"summary":6,"contentHtml":15,"mainContentHtml":6,"posterUrl":16,"createDate":17,"displayDate":18,"displayDateSlash":19,"pageviews":20,"tags":28,"hidden":5,"isSubContent":5,"replyDocOrTargetId":6,"contentType":23,"videoId":6,"liveVideoUrl":6,"duration":24,"price":24,"priceText":25,"priceBadgeText":25,"priceBadgeClass":26,"freeForMinGroupLevel":24,"redirectUrl":6,"readyToStream":5},[22],"\u002Fcol\u002Fstocknews",{"visible":5,"marketingHtml":31,"services":32,"recentDocuments":41},"\u003Cfigure class=\"image\">\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fstockwe.com\u002Fdoc\u002Fdcio537efad5\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u003Cimg style=\"display:block;margin-left:auto;margin-right:auto;\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fstockwewebfiles.blob.core.windows.net\u002Fweb-202408-stk\u002F1586109431mceclip0.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Ffigure>\u003Cdiv class=\"text-center\">\u003Ch2 class=\"card-title mx-auto\">\u003Cbr>\u003Ca target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fstockwe.com\u002Fdoc\u002Fdcio537efad5\">案例介绍：英伟达深度研究报告\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fh2>\u003C\u002Fdiv>",[33,37],{"productId":34,"serviceName":35,"priceText":36},"prod_PPxdDdK87QaiLv","月付","$12.95美元",{"productId":38,"serviceName":39,"priceText":40},"prod_PPxeMs3bix1da5","年付","$149.00美元",[],{"links":43,"images":68,"summaryHtml":73,"aboutTitle":74,"aboutHtml":75,"copyrightHtml":76},[44,47,50,53,56,59,62,65],{"label":45,"url":46},"深度报告","\u002Fcol\u002FdepthReport",{"label":48,"url":49},"VIP会员","\u002Fplan",{"label":51,"url":52},"期权推荐","\u002FOption",{"label":54,"url":55},"低价暴涨股","\u002FPenny",{"label":57,"url":58},"常见问题","https:\u002F\u002Fstockwe.com\u002FFAQ",{"label":60,"url":61},"美股课程","\u002Fcol\u002Fvideos",{"label":63,"url":64},"免责声明","\u002Fdisclaimer",{"label":66,"url":67},"联系我们","\u002FContactUs",[69,70,71,72],"https:\u002F\u002Fstockwebsiteblob.blob.core.windows.net\u002Fweb-202509-stk\u002FUploaderzic2tuwsol2_2025_09_11_18_21_07.gif","https:\u002F\u002Fstockwebsiteblob.blob.core.windows.net\u002Fweb-202509-stk\u002FUploadercakzdvydksw_2025_09_03_09_00_56.png","https:\u002F\u002Fstockwebsiteblob.blob.core.windows.net\u002Fweb-202509-stk\u002FUploadergtjyagwvoyk_2025_09_14_08_32_05.png","https:\u002F\u002Fstockwebsiteblob.blob.core.windows.net\u002Fweb-202509-stk\u002FUploader3u0tt4jhlqh_2025_09_23_22_30_48.png","邮箱: buy@TradesMax.com 美国电话 626-378-3637","公司介绍","\u003Cp class=\"MsoNormal\">美股大数据 StockWe.com 是一个美国领先的金融和美股信息大数据提供商，紧盯华尔街金融市场和行情，2008年成立于美国硅谷，创始人是前纽约证券交易所资深分析师Ken，联合多位摩根斯坦利分析师，谷歌 Meta工程师利用AI和大数据，配合十多年美股实战经验和业内量化交易模型，每天处理千万级股票数据：挖掘潜力大牛股，捕捉期权异动大单，实时主力资金流向、机构持仓变化、川普突发新闻，精准买卖信号第一时间发到您手机APP。\u003C\u002Fp>","专业美股投资者都在这里",{"loading":78,"search":79,"searchPlaceholder":79,"hotContent":80,"draft":81,"noData":82,"searchNoData":83,"edit":84,"editVideo":85,"courseContent":86,"more":87,"buyNow":88,"subscribeNow":89,"encoding":90,"paidContent":91},"Loading...","搜索","热门内容","草稿","目前没有任何内容公布","当前检索内容没有数据","编辑","编辑视频","课程内容","更多","立即购买后观看","- 立即订阅 -","视频编码中...","付费内容"]