[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"content-doc-dcio0fe278ad":3},{"user":4,"document":8,"mainDocument":26,"columnUrl":28,"subscription":29,"footer":41,"text":76},{"isAuthenticated":5,"isAdmin":5,"displayName":6,"avatarUrl":6,"nid":6,"groupLevel":7},false,"",-10,{"id":9,"fullTitle":10,"subTitle":6,"url":11,"columnId":12,"columnName":13,"columnUrl":14,"summary":6,"contentHtml":15,"mainContentHtml":6,"posterUrl":16,"createDate":17,"displayDate":18,"displayDateSlash":19,"pageviews":20,"tags":21,"hidden":5,"isSubContent":5,"replyDocOrTargetId":6,"contentType":22,"videoId":6,"liveVideoUrl":6,"duration":23,"price":23,"priceText":24,"priceBadgeText":24,"priceBadgeClass":25,"freeForMinGroupLevel":23,"redirectUrl":6,"readyToStream":5},"dcio0fe278ad","期权交易员1800万美元押注美联储今年不降息","\u002Fdoc\u002Fdcio0fe278ad","col18178739ee","美股资讯","\u002Fcol\u002Fcol18178739ee","\u003Cp>有迹象显示，至少有一位大型期权交易商近期已豪掷1800万美元——押注美联储今年不会降息。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>虽然目前期货和期权市场的投资者总体上仍然认为美联储将在7月份的会议上降息，并且今年至少还会再降息两次。但在过去几周，一个庞大的头寸却正在期权合约中建立——只要美联储在2025年底前维持利率不变或加息，该合约就将获利。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>根据芝加哥商品交易所(CME)周二公布的数据显示，本周与该交易相关的新风险敞口(即未平仓合约数量)出现了激增。这一押注与追踪美联储年底政策路径的有担保隔夜融资利率(SOFR)合约挂钩。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>据熟悉相关期权押注的人士表示，就在上周四以来，有一位或最多几位交易员开出了8万份合约，押注SOFR利率将保持高位。由于讨论的敏感性，这些人士要求匿名。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>许多此类合约的交易都是匿名的，因此很难确定参与交易的公司和交易的具体细节。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>这些交易员表示，过去几周，该头寸规模已增至约18万份合约，约占未平仓合约总量的75%。根据建仓时的价格计算，如此规模的仓位相当于约1800万美元的期权费。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>毫无疑问，这一押注与目前市场上的主流预期唱起了反调——随着美国总统特朗普反复无常的关税政策开始在经济中产生涟漪，投资者们近来都在纷纷猜测利率和通胀可能会走向何方。华尔街许多机构一直在加大押注，认为如果经济因关税影响而放缓，美联储将不得不降息。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>而这些针对12月SOFR期权合约的最新交易，则无疑在淡化这种降息预期。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>与此同时，据摩根大通对客户的调查显示，在最初因特朗普关税声明引发抛售后，投资者近来已重返美债现货市场。根据摩根大通对客户的调查，过去一周国债的多头和空头头寸均小幅增加。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>各期限美债收益率周二普遍有所走软。截至纽约时段尾盘，2年期美债收益率跌4.08个基点报3.6499%，5年期美债收益率跌3.63个基点报3.7695%，10年期美债收益率跌2.89个基点报4.1755%，30年期美债收益率跌3.04个基点报4.6499%。\u003C\u002Fp>","https:\u002F\u002Fstockwebsiteblob.blob.core.windows.net\u002Fweb-202504-stk\u002FUploadergkbpelkvuil_2025_04_29_22_50_32.jpg","2025-04-30T05:49:01.31","2025.04.30","2025\u002F04\u002F30",30319,[],"Article",0,"免费","success",{"id":9,"fullTitle":10,"subTitle":6,"url":11,"columnId":12,"columnName":13,"columnUrl":14,"summary":6,"contentHtml":15,"mainContentHtml":6,"posterUrl":16,"createDate":17,"displayDate":18,"displayDateSlash":19,"pageviews":20,"tags":27,"hidden":5,"isSubContent":5,"replyDocOrTargetId":6,"contentType":22,"videoId":6,"liveVideoUrl":6,"duration":23,"price":23,"priceText":24,"priceBadgeText":24,"priceBadgeClass":25,"freeForMinGroupLevel":23,"redirectUrl":6,"readyToStream":5},[],"\u002Fcol\u002Fstocknews",{"visible":5,"marketingHtml":30,"services":31,"recentDocuments":40},"\u003Cfigure class=\"image\">\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fstockwe.com\u002Fdoc\u002Fdcio537efad5\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u003Cimg style=\"display:block;margin-left:auto;margin-right:auto;\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fstockwewebfiles.blob.core.windows.net\u002Fweb-202408-stk\u002F1586109431mceclip0.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Ffigure>\u003Cdiv class=\"text-center\">\u003Ch2 class=\"card-title mx-auto\">\u003Cbr>\u003Ca target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fstockwe.com\u002Fdoc\u002Fdcio537efad5\">案例介绍：英伟达深度研究报告\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fh2>\u003C\u002Fdiv>",[32,36],{"productId":33,"serviceName":34,"priceText":35},"prod_PPxdDdK87QaiLv","月付","$12.95美元",{"productId":37,"serviceName":38,"priceText":39},"prod_PPxeMs3bix1da5","年付","$149.00美元",[],{"links":42,"images":67,"summaryHtml":72,"aboutTitle":73,"aboutHtml":74,"copyrightHtml":75},[43,46,49,52,55,58,61,64],{"label":44,"url":45},"深度报告","\u002Fcol\u002FdepthReport",{"label":47,"url":48},"VIP会员","\u002Fplan",{"label":50,"url":51},"期权推荐","\u002FOption",{"label":53,"url":54},"低价暴涨股","\u002FPenny",{"label":56,"url":57},"常见问题","https:\u002F\u002Fstockwe.com\u002FFAQ",{"label":59,"url":60},"美股课程","\u002Fcol\u002Fvideos",{"label":62,"url":63},"免责声明","\u002Fdisclaimer",{"label":65,"url":66},"联系我们","\u002FContactUs",[68,69,70,71],"https:\u002F\u002Fstockwebsiteblob.blob.core.windows.net\u002Fweb-202509-stk\u002FUploaderzic2tuwsol2_2025_09_11_18_21_07.gif","https:\u002F\u002Fstockwebsiteblob.blob.core.windows.net\u002Fweb-202509-stk\u002FUploadercakzdvydksw_2025_09_03_09_00_56.png","https:\u002F\u002Fstockwebsiteblob.blob.core.windows.net\u002Fweb-202509-stk\u002FUploadergtjyagwvoyk_2025_09_14_08_32_05.png","https:\u002F\u002Fstockwebsiteblob.blob.core.windows.net\u002Fweb-202509-stk\u002FUploader3u0tt4jhlqh_2025_09_23_22_30_48.png","邮箱: buy@TradesMax.com 美国电话 626-378-3637","公司介绍","\u003Cp class=\"MsoNormal\">美股大数据 StockWe.com 是一个美国领先的金融和美股信息大数据提供商，紧盯华尔街金融市场和行情，2008年成立于美国硅谷，创始人是前纽约证券交易所资深分析师Ken，联合多位摩根斯坦利分析师，谷歌 Meta工程师利用AI和大数据，配合十多年美股实战经验和业内量化交易模型，每天处理千万级股票数据：挖掘潜力大牛股，捕捉期权异动大单，实时主力资金流向、机构持仓变化、川普突发新闻，精准买卖信号第一时间发到您手机APP。\u003C\u002Fp>","专业美股投资者都在这里",{"loading":77,"search":78,"searchPlaceholder":78,"hotContent":79,"draft":80,"noData":81,"searchNoData":82,"edit":83,"editVideo":84,"courseContent":85,"more":86,"buyNow":87,"subscribeNow":88,"encoding":89,"paidContent":90},"Loading...","搜索","热门内容","草稿","目前没有任何内容公布","当前检索内容没有数据","编辑","编辑视频","课程内容","更多","立即购买后观看","- 立即订阅 -","视频编码中...","付费内容"]